The Dwarkesh Reference
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PredictionPending

The model that Neanderthals are genetically-swamped modern humans sharing a ~300,000-year-old Middle Stone Age origin will prove more parsimonious than the current sister-lineage consensus.

Who
David Reich
Topic
Neanderthal model
How it gets scored
Does integrating modern-human substructure with archaic ancient-DNA data align in timing and displace the sister-lineage model?
Resolves
2031-05-08