The Dwarkesh Reference
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PredictionPending

Frontier context lengths will stay roughly in the 100-200K range because memory bandwidth is the hard wall and HBM is not improving fast enough.

Who
Reiner Pope
Topic
Context length
How it gets scored
Does no top-5 frontier model offer a >500K-token window at standard pricing by 2028?
Resolves
2028-05-22